Projections of the National situation over Jerusalem according to scenarios

The first scenario represents the situation nowadays, where Jerusalem is severely subdivided and cannot normally function as a metropolis. Jerusalem carries the great potential of connection due to its physical centrality but is currently functioning as a buffer, while Palestinian urban continuity is prevented.

An Autonomous Palestinian authority as well as two states for two nations both hold in store a dominative division of Jerusalem, while its advantage and potential as a physical center is used to support the behalf of both sides. In an autonomous Palestinian authority Jerusalem will be the hub for civil domination.

East Jerusalem would become the capital of Palestine in the two states scenario, while the western side would remain the capital of Israel.

One multinational state would provide Jerusalem with the significant status of a dominative, cultural, historic, and economic hub.

Political overview

According to the Oslo 2 agreement signed at 28/9/95 the West Bank and Gaza strip were divided and classified as three different territories:

A: territories under both civil and security domination of the Palestinian authority.
B: territories under the Palestinian authority civil domination and Israeli security domination.
C: territories under both civil and security domination of Israel.

This categorical subdivision of space has extreme influence on all aspects of life on these lands. The dynamic nature of the conflict over these contested lands leads to urban consequences of fragmentary Palestinian territories via the separation wall as well as other domination means (barriers, forbidden roads etc.).

There are 4 main scenarios for the future habitation continuity of Palestinians and Israelis on these lands:

Security domination and terror – The state of Israel rules over the Palestinians and the Arab residents of Israel, which leads to political instability and terror.
A stable Palestinian autonomy – The state of Israel remains Jewish and non-democratic, along with a civil independent Palestinian authority.
A multinational state – disclamation of the Jewish state and creation of a multicultural state.
Two states for two Nations – A stable political arrangement.

Jerusalem, as a critical component of the Israeli – Palestinian conflict, will be drastically affected by the scenarios presented above (and vice versa – Jerusalem might set an example for a nationwide future solution).